Rate Cut Marks Start of Fed’s Shift Toward Neutrality
September 17, 2025 — The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point at the September FOMC meeting, lowering the federal funds target range to 4.00%–4.25% in its first reduction since December. The move, widely expected by markets, reflects growing concern over a cooling labor market even as inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% goal. Officials also confirmed that balance sheet runoff will continue under existing caps, signaling that quantitative tightening remains in place despite the shift in rates.
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Fixed Income
What the Decline in ON RRP Means for Markets
September 15, 2025 -- All eyes are on the FOMC this week, with markets broadly anticipating a rate cut. Market participants will be closely analyzing the dot plot...
Fixed Income
Rates on the Precipice
September 9, 2025 -- Last week, the highly anticipated nonfarm payrolls report for August came in softer than expectations, printing just 22k jobs versus the consensus of 75k.
Fixed Income
Navigating Shifting Currents — Fixed Income Outlook in 5 Charts
September 5, 2025 -- As the labor market shows signs of softening and growth momentum fades, the economic outlook remains clouded with uncertainty. Leading indicators . . .